Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.019352 0.022522 0.026021 0.030164 0.034934 0.040250 0.046619
2025-11-30 0.015062 0.019283 0.024373 0.030945 0.039193 0.049185 0.062192
2025-12-07 0.011755 0.016353 0.022337 0.030663 0.041910 0.056535 0.076949
2025-12-14 0.009152 0.013710 0.020062 0.029500 0.043100 0.061911 0.089809
2025-12-21 0.007484 0.011981 0.018639 0.029126 0.045124 0.068482 0.105004
2025-12-28 0.006674 0.011333 0.018610 0.030678 0.050031 0.079654 0.128148
2026-01-04 0.005874 0.010536 0.018187 0.031491 0.053828 0.089523 0.150449
2026-01-11 0.004926 0.009311 0.016859 0.030588 0.054662 0.094731 0.165865
2026-01-18 0.004253 0.008442 0.015979 0.030272 0.056362 0.101441 0.184407
2026-01-25 0.003629 0.007550 0.014910 0.029437 0.056986 0.106305 0.200222
2026-02-01 0.003142 0.006836 0.014053 0.028847 0.057929 0.111757 0.217584
2026-02-08 0.002773 0.006295 0.013443 0.028628 0.059506 0.118470 0.237908
2026-02-15 0.002391 0.005669 0.012587 0.027829 0.059907 0.123140 0.255153
2026-02-22 0.002241 0.005528 0.012714 0.029075 0.064593 0.136627 0.291137
2026-03-01 0.002007 0.005154 0.012286 0.029072 0.066672 0.145142 0.318092
2026-03-08 0.001735 0.004642 0.011471 0.028094 0.066517 0.149038 0.335923
2026-03-15 0.001545 0.004297 0.010988 0.027800 0.067826 0.156136 0.361285
2026-03-22 0.001484 0.004272 0.011260 0.029318 0.073451 0.173167 0.410063
2026-03-29 0.001387 0.004135 0.011236 0.030114 0.077478 0.187068 0.453309
2026-04-05 0.001219 0.003772 0.010588 0.029257 0.077411 0.191649 0.475781
2026-04-12 0.001097 0.003517 0.010181 0.028959 0.078679 0.199456 0.506580
2026-04-19 0.000969 0.003220 0.009616 0.028161 0.078573 0.203963 0.529959
2026-04-26 0.000865 0.002977 0.009162 0.027596 0.078996 0.209793 0.557157